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  • Regulator Consolidation; AI Pays Off for Banks; 5 Largest Loss in 2024; Special Focus- Non-Financial Risk Management Overview & More

Regulator Consolidation; AI Pays Off for Banks; 5 Largest Loss in 2024; Special Focus- Non-Financial Risk Management Overview & More

Welcome back to the Risk Queue, we have a lot of news to share and let’s jump into the big risk happening in the Financial world.

-From Naeem, CEO & Founder - Risk On Q

PICKS:

  1. Markets & Government

    • Government looking to Consolidate Regulatory Agencies

    • JP Morgan Plans Layoffs

  2. AI Developments

    • Insights into where Firms are gaining most ground from AI

    • JP Morgan not slowing down with AI capabilities

  3. Regulatory Updates

    • OCC Publishes Stress Test Requirements for 2025

    • Wells Fargo Has 5 Remaining Consent Orders

Risk Headlines

Key Points:

The Administration is actively pursuing an aggressive consolidation of banking regulators, potentially merging the FDIC into Treasury and combining its role with the OCC. While this could streamline regulation, it presents significant operational and reputational risks, particularly regarding deposit insurance perception and regulatory consistency.

The proposed changes would fundamentally alter the regulatory landscape, potentially creating more efficient oversight but increasing concentration risk and political exposure. Banks must balance potential benefits of streamlined regulation against increased systemic risks and public perception challenges.

  1. Potential consolidation of FDIC into Treasury and merger with OCC → Major shift in regulatory oversight structure

  2. Administration’s rapid changes to CFPB → Indicates aggressive regulatory reform approach

  3. Appointment of Jonathan Gould (OCC) and Jonathan McKernan (CFPB) → New leadership aligned with administration's goals

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Key Points:

JPMorgan Chase, despite achieving record profits in 2024, is executing a strategic workforce realignment with fewer than 1,000 layoffs in February and more planned throughout 2025. While maintaining 14,000 open positions indicates selective hiring, the bank's mid-teens growth in investment banking fees and bullish market outlook suggest these moves are more about optimization than cost-cutting. Expect other Banks to follow similar startegy.

A.I. Risk / Technology Risk

Key Points:

AI has moved beyond experimentation to deliver concrete financial results in the banking sector, with significant revenue increases and cost savings reported across the industry. The focus on high-value use cases like trading optimization and customer experience demonstrates AI's practical business impact. With 50% of institutions already deploying generative AI and the emergence of agentic AI

  • 70% of firms report 5%+ revenue increase from AI

  • 60% achieve 5%+ cost reduction through AI

  • Trading/portfolio optimization (25%) and customer experience (21%) top ROI

  • 50% have deployed first generative AI service

  • Agentic AI emergence for complex problem-solving

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Key Points:

JPMorgan's launch of its LLM Suite represents a significant milestone in banking's AI transformation, providing 50,000 employees with advanced generative AI capabilities for improved productivity and decision-making. The platform's focus on practical applications like document creation, analysis, and idea generation demonstrates the maturity of AI implementation in banking.

Regulatory News - Fines, Losses, & Rules

Key Points:

While progress on consent orders is encouraging for Wells, maintaining robust compliance frameworks remains critical. The potential removal of the asset cap should be viewed not just as a growth opportunity but as a chance to demonstrate sustainable risk management practices, consider this a big challenge for Wells Fargo who has been lacking in all areas of risk management for well over a decade.

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Key Points:

The OCC's stress testing requirements establish a comprehensive framework for assessing banks' capital adequacy and risk management capabilities, with specific timing and disclosure requirements based on institution size and category. The forward-looking nature of these tests, combined with public disclosure requirements, makes them crucial for both regulatory compliance and market confidence. The 2025 testing cycle presents an opportunity to demonstrate institutional resilience while providing valuable insights for capital planning and risk management.

  • $250 billion minimum threshold for stress testing → Defines scope of affected institutions

  • Even-numbered year testing for Category III banks → Important for resource planning and timing

  • Annual testing for Category I and II banks → Higher regulatory burden for larger institutions

  • April 5 submission deadline with June 15-July 15 publication window → Critical compliance timeline

  • Baseline and severely adverse scenario testing required → Key risk assessment parameters

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Risk Data to Geek Out On

Define Non-Financial Risk Management - riskonq .com

This weekly newsletter focuses on financial and non-financial risk events occurring in the Financial Industry, hence the Risk Queue. Over the coming weeks, we will define these concepts to enhance understanding and appreciation of the vast risk management ecosystem. This week we are covering non-financial risk and its core components, you can also review last week’s overview of financial risk in the prior newsletter.

Non-financial risk management (NFRM) in financial institutions refers to the systematic identification, assessment, and mitigation of risks that do not arise directly from financial transactions but can have profound implications on an institution’s operations, reputation, and compliance with regulatory frameworks. As financial markets grow increasingly complex and interconnected, the management of non-financial risks—such as operational, compliance, reputational, strategic, and external risks—has emerged as a critical aspect of overall risk governance.

Effective NFRM is essential not only for protecting an institution's assets and reputation but also for ensuring regulatory compliance and maintaining stakeholder trust in an era of heightened scrutiny and regulatory change

Types of Non-Financial Risks

Operational Risks

Operational risks arise from failures in internal processes, systems, or human errors. For example, a technological failure, such as a software glitch that disrupts transaction processing, can have severe repercussions on operational continuity.

Compliance Risks

Compliance risks stem from the failure to adhere to laws, regulations, and internal policies. With the increasingly complex landscape of global financial regulations, non-compliance can lead to substantial fines, legal repercussions, and reputational damage.

Reputational Risks

Reputational risks are linked to the public perception of an institution and can be severely impacted by scandals or negative publicity. Trust, once lost, is challenging to regain, making it essential for institutions to maintain transparency and ethical practices.

Strategic Risks

Strategic risks relate to the decisions made in pursuit of business objectives. Poor strategic decisions or external adverse conditions can jeopardize an institution's market position.

External Risks

External risks include factors beyond the control of financial institutions, such as natural disasters, geopolitical tensions, or other disruptions that can halt normal operations.

Risk Management Strategies

Risk management strategies are essential for financial institutions to effectively identify, assess, and mitigate non-financial risks. These strategies encompass a variety of approaches that aim to enhance organizational resilience and ensure compliance with regulatory frameworks.

  • Predictive Nature: A fundamental characteristic of risk management strategies is their predictive nature. Institutions must proactively anticipate potential risks, such as cybersecurity threats and market fluctuations, and prepare appropriate responses to minimize their impact.

  • Strategic Integration: Integrating risk management into the institution's overall strategic framework is crucial. This involves aligning risk management practices with the organization's goals and risk appetite.

  • Risk Governance and Tolerance: Establishing a robust risk governance framework is vital for effective risk management. This framework should define clear policies and procedures for identifying and mitigating risks, while also ensuring that risk management is woven into the organization's broader strategy.

  • Risk Treatment Options: Financial institutions commonly employ several risk treatment options, including risk acceptance, risk avoidance, risk transference, and risk mitigation. Each type of risk requires a tailored treatment plan to manage its potential impact effectively.

  • Cultivating a Compliance-Focused Culture: To support risk management strategies, financial institutions should cultivate a compliance-focused culture. This involves conducting regular training programs to educate employees on compliance policies and encouraging their active involvement in compliance activities.

  • Leveraging Technology: Technology plays a pivotal role in enhancing risk management strategies. Advanced data analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning can be utilized to identify and assess risks more efficiently.

  • Regular Risk Assessment and Scenario Planning: Conducting regular risk assessments is crucial for identifying and prioritizing potential non-financial risks. Institutions should estimate the likelihood and impact of various risks, allowing them to allocate resources effectively.

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Thank you for reading,

Naeem

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